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🇬🇧 UK · Family / Spouse visa

UK Family / Spouse visa approval odds

a family visa to the United Kingdom is decided mainly on whether the family relationship is genuine and the sponsor can support you. Public statistics point to an approximate base approval of around 81% for this route for a typical applicant — but your own profile can move that figure a lot in either direction.

Last reviewed July 2026 per our editorial standards.

a family visa to the United Kingdom is decided mainly on whether the family relationship is genuine and the sponsor can support you. Public statistics point to an approximate base approval of around 81% for this route for a typical applicant — but your own profile can move that figure a lot in either direction.

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UK family visa refusal rates by nationality (year to March 2026)

Home Office decisions on entry clearance applications, by the applicant's nationality and visa type, for the year to March 2026. Withdrawn and lapsed applications are excluded. None of these predicts an individual decision — they show how strictly the bar has been applied.

UK family visa outcomes in year to March 2026, best to worst, for the nationalities we publish pages for.
NationalityRefusedIssuedDecided
Morocco6.8%93.2%840
Turkey7.1%92.9%1,372
Ethiopia8.2%91.8%1,439
Sri Lanka8.4%91.6%884
India8.6%91.4%3,051
Pakistan9.7%90.3%9,693
the Philippines9.9%90.1%1,413
Vietnam10.2%89.8%609
Bangladesh11.2%88.8%1,944
Kenya11.3%88.7%426
Egypt11.5%88.5%611
Cameroon19.6%80.4%327
Ghana20.5%79.5%2,292
Nigeria22%78%1,862
Uganda22.3%77.7%515
Nepal38.7%61.3%3,972

Source: UK Home Office — outcomes of entry clearance visa applications by nationality and visa type (Vis_D02) . Every nationality above links to its own page with the year-on-year movement and a comparison across destinations.

What actually moves the needle

Evidence of a genuine relationship

This is the heart of family decisions for UK. Make it concrete and documented rather than assumed.

A sponsor who meets the requirements

Officers weigh this alongside everything else — gather clear evidence before you apply.

Funds and accommodation that are documented

Officers weigh this alongside everything else — gather clear evidence before you apply.

Avoid the common pitfall

The most frequent reason this route fails is thin relationship evidence or a sponsor who falls short of requirements. Address it directly and you remove the biggest doubt.

Frequently asked questions

Is there an official UK family visa success rate?

Not one we currently carry. We only print a rate when we hold the publisher's own figure for this nationality and this visa category, and we do not hold one for the UK family visas. The figure shown on this page is a modelled estimate built from published route-level data and your answers — we label it as such rather than presenting it as a government statistic. What you can act on is the documented requirement set below, which is what the decision actually turns on.

What matters most for a UK family visa?

Officers focus on whether the family relationship is genuine and the sponsor can support you. In practice the single biggest lever is the relationship and sponsor, so make that part of your application as strong and well-documented as possible.

Does a previous visa refusal affect my chances?

Yes. A prior refusal weighs on new applications until its underlying reason is addressed. Find out exactly why you were refused, fix what caused it, and clearly show what is different this time.

Is this a guarantee of approval?

No. GetVisaOdds is an educational planning tool, not legal advice and not a guarantee. Only a consular or immigration officer can decide your application. We show approximate odds and the reasons behind them so you can prepare better.

Is my information private?

Completely. The estimate runs entirely in your browser. Your answers are never sent to a server or stored — there is no sign-up and nothing to leak.

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Helpful guides

UK ETA 2026: who needs it, cost (£20) and how to apply → How long does a visa take? US, UK, Canada & Schengen (2026) → How to read visa approval and refusal rates → How to prove strong ties to your home country → How to document your finances for a visa → What to do after a visa refusal →