🇳🇬 Nigerian citizens · 🇬🇧 UK · Family / Spouse
UK family / spouse visa refusal rate for Nigerian citizens (year to March 2026)
The Home Office decided 1,862 UK family visa applications from Nigerian nationals in the year to March 2026, and refused 22% of them — so about 78 in every 100 decided applications were issued. That is up from 20.7% in year to March 2025. Unlike the Schengen figures, this is grouped by the applicant's nationality rather than by where the application was lodged, and it is broken down by visa type, so it describes Nigerian family applicants specifically. Withdrawn and lapsed applications are excluded from both sides of the fraction. It remains a nationality-wide outcome rather than a prediction for one case. The estimator below weighs your own finances, ties, travel history and refusal record instead.
Last reviewed August 2026 per our editorial standards. Rate: UK Home Office — outcomes of entry clearance visa applications by nationality and visa type (Vis_D02) .
How likely is a family visa to the United Kingdom for Nigerian citizens? Officers focus on whether the family relationship is genuine and the sponsor can support you. A typical applicant sees roughly 46%, and the biggest single lever is the relationship and sponsor. Nigerian applicants historically face higher refusal rates across most destinations, so strong ties and finances matter most.
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Where Nigeria sits in the official data
Two governments publish visa outcomes broken down by country. Neither predicts an individual decision, but together they show how Nigerian applicants fare relative to everyone else, and which of the destinations we cover currently refuses the fewest applications from Nigeria.
US visitor visas — FY2025
A 57% adjusted refusal rate places Nigeria 160th of 199 nationalities the State Department publishes — a lower refusal rate than 20% of them. The median nationality sits at 31.8%, so Nigeria is 25.2 points above it.
Schengen short-stay visas — 2025
Across all Schengen consulates in Nigeria, 47.9% of short-stay applications were not issued — 120th of 127 countries with a meaningful application volume, and 32.3 points above the 15.6% median.
| Destination | Refused | Issued | Decided |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 29.2% | 70.8% | 7,672 |
| Greece | 36.5% | 63.5% | 441 |
| Italy | 42.2% | 57.8% | 13,649 |
| France | 48.5% | 51.5% | 57,280 |
| Spain | 55.8% | 44.2% | 8,971 |
| Portugal | 56.3% | 43.7% | 3,043 |
Among Schengen states, applications lodged in Nigeria were refused least often by Germany at 29.2% and most often by Portugal at 56.3% — a gap of 27.1 points on a like-for-like basis. That gap reflects who applies where as much as how strictly each state decides, so it is a starting point for choosing a main destination, not a ranking of leniency. You must still apply to the state where you will spend the most nights.
Demand and outcome moved together for Nigeria between 2024 and 2025. Schengen consulates there decided 110,956 short-stay applications, against 109,682 the year before — up 1.2% — while the refusal rate went from 45.9% to 47.9%. Had 2024's rate held, roughly 2,267 of the 110,956 applicants refused in 2025 would have been issued a visa instead.
Sources: U.S. Department of State — Adjusted Refusal Rate, B-Visas Only, by Nationality and European Commission — Schengen short-stay visa statistics for consulates . Schengen figures are grouped by the country an application was lodged in, not by passport.
Frequently asked questions
What is the UK family visa refusal rate for Nigerian citizens?
22% in year to March 2026, against 20.7% in year to March 2025 — meaning 78% of decided cases ended in a visa. Entry clearance family visa applications from Nigeria nationals decided in the year to March 2026, as a share refused. The Home Office publishes decisions by nationality and visa type; withdrawn and lapsed applications are excluded from both sides of the fraction. It is a nationality-wide outcome, not a probability for an individual application. Your own case is assessed on its own evidence, so use the estimator on this page rather than the average.
Where does this UK refusal-rate figure come from?
From UK Home Office — outcomes of entry clearance visa applications by nationality and visa type (Vis_D02), covering year to March 2026. We restate the published figure without adjustment and link the source file directly, so you can check it yourself.
What matters most for a UK family visa?
Officers focus on whether the family relationship is genuine and the sponsor can support you. In practice the single biggest lever is the relationship and sponsor, so make that part of your application as strong and well-documented as possible.
Does a previous visa refusal affect my chances?
Yes. A prior refusal weighs on new applications until its underlying reason is addressed. Find out exactly why you were refused, fix what caused it, and clearly show what is different this time.
Is this a guarantee of approval?
No. GetVisaOdds is an educational planning tool, not legal advice and not a guarantee. Only a consular or immigration officer can decide your application. We show approximate odds and the reasons behind them so you can prepare better.
Is my information private?
Completely. The estimate runs entirely in your browser. Your answers are never sent to a server or stored — there is no sign-up and nothing to leak.
