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VisaOdds

Data & insights

Visa approval data by route

Approximate approval rates, the money you need, and the most common refusal reasons for major visa routes — compiled from official government sources. Rates are educational estimates for a typical applicant; your own odds depend on your profile.

Last reviewed July 2026.

Approval & requirements by route

Route Base approval Key financial requirement Top refusal reason Source
UAE · Work 95% No applicant funds threshold — the sponsoring employer handles fees and pays your salary. A valid labour contract is the key document. Employer quota or labour-approval problems The United Arab Emirates' Government portal (u.ae)
UK · Student 90% Course fees (or first-year fees) plus £1,334/month for London or about £1,023/month outside London, for up to 9 months — held for 28 straight days ending within 31 days of applying. Funds not held for the full 28-day period GOV.UK — UK Home Office
Australia · Student 89% Evidence of funds covering travel + tuition + 12 months' living costs, OR personal annual income of at least AUD$60,000 (AUD$70,000 if accompanied by family members). Fails the Genuine Student requirement Australian Government — Department of Home Affairs
Schengen · Student 88% Country-specific: e.g. Germany requires a blocked account of about €11,904/year (2025); others accept a scholarship award or bank evidence of living costs. Funds or scholarship not adequately proven European Commission — Migration and Home Affairs
Schengen · Tourist / Visitor 84% Varies by country: broadly ~€1,099 for stays of 9 days or more, or ~€122 per day for shorter trips; France asks ~€65/day. Showing 1.5–2× the minimum strengthens your case. Insufficient or unclear means of subsistence European Commission — Migration and Home Affairs
UK · Tourist / Visitor 82% No set minimum. Show you can cover the trip without working in the UK and have clear reasons to return home. Doubt that you will actually leave the UK GOV.UK — UK Home Office
USA · Tourist / Visitor 80% No official minimum. Show funds that comfortably cover the whole trip plus evidence of ongoing income and ties — officers weigh your entire profile, not a single number. Section 214(b) — weak home ties or perceived immigrant intent (the most common reason) U.S. Department of State — Bureau of Consular Affairs
USA · Student 74% Show funds covering the first-year tuition and living costs stated on your I-20 — documented, genuine, and readily available. Section 214(b) — perceived immigrant intent U.S. Department of State — Bureau of Consular Affairs
Canada · Tourist / Visitor 68% No set figure. Show enough to maintain yourself for the visit and return home — six months of bank statements plus income evidence; more for longer stays or if you pay for accommodation. Insufficient ties / doubt you will leave Canada IRCC — Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada
Canada · Student 62% CAD$20,635 for living costs for a single applicant (2024 baseline, adjusted annually) plus first-year tuition and travel. More is required for accompanying family members. Funds insufficient or not credibly sourced IRCC — Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada

Base approval = approximate rate for a moderate-profile applicant, before nationality and personal factors. Educational estimates, not official per-application odds.

The most common reasons visas are refused

Across the routes we track, refusals cluster into a handful of themes:

  • Insufficient or unexplained funds 12 routes
  • Other 11 routes
  • Unclear purpose or unconvincing plan 9 routes
  • Missing or incorrect documents 8 routes
  • Weak ties / doubt you will return home 7 routes
  • Prior overstay or immigration breach 3 routes

The pattern is consistent: ties, funds, and a credible purpose decide most cases. See how we weight them or estimate your own odds.