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🇹🇳 Tunisian citizens · 🇬🇧 UK · Family / Spouse

UK family / spouse visa success rate for Tunisian citizens (year to March 2026)

94.9% of Tunisian UK family visa applications were approved in the year to March 2026, across 255 decisions — the remaining 5.1% were refused. Approval is up from 93.8% in year to March 2025. Unlike the Schengen figures, this is grouped by the applicant's nationality rather than by where the application was lodged, and it is broken down by visa type, so it describes Tunisian family applicants specifically. Withdrawn and lapsed applications are excluded from both sides of the fraction. It remains a nationality-wide outcome rather than a prediction for one case. The estimator below weighs your own finances, ties, travel history and refusal record instead.

Last reviewed August 2026 per our editorial standards. Rate: UK Home Office — outcomes of entry clearance visa applications by nationality and visa type (Vis_D02) .

For Tunisian citizens applying, a family visa to the United Kingdom is decided mainly on whether the family relationship is genuine and the sponsor can support you. Public statistics point to an approximate base approval of around 76% for this route — but your own profile can move that figure a lot in either direction. Published approval rates for Tunisia run at 74.1% on US visitor visas in FY2025 and 80.4% on Schengen short-stay applications in 2025.

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Where Tunisia sits in the official data

Two governments publish visa outcomes broken down by country. Neither predicts an individual decision, but together they show how Tunisian applicants fare relative to everyone else, and which of the destinations we cover currently refuses the fewest applications from Tunisia.

US visitor visas — FY2025

A 25.9% adjusted refusal rate places Tunisia 91st of 199 nationalities the State Department publishes — a lower refusal rate than 54% of them. The median nationality sits at 31.8%, so Tunisia is 5.9 points below it.

Schengen short-stay visas — 2025

Across all Schengen consulates in Tunisia, 19.6% of short-stay applications were not issued — 77th of 127 countries with a meaningful application volume, and 4 points above the 15.6% median.

Schengen short-stay applications lodged in Tunisia in 2025, by issuing state. All rows use the European Commission's methodology, so they are comparable with each other — the US figure is computed differently and is shown separately above.
DestinationRefusedIssuedDecided
France15.4%84.6%115,968
Germany16.1%83.9%19,152
Portugal20.6%79.4%1,520
the Netherlands29.3%70.7%6,714
Spain30%70%6,826
Italy32%68%15,922
Greece33.9%66.1%1,772

Among Schengen states, applications lodged in Tunisia were refused least often by France at 15.4% and most often by Greece at 33.9% — a gap of 18.5 points on a like-for-like basis. That gap reflects who applies where as much as how strictly each state decides, so it is a starting point for choosing a main destination, not a ranking of leniency. You must still apply to the state where you will spend the most nights.

Demand and outcome moved together for Tunisia between 2024 and 2025. Schengen consulates there decided 186,741 short-stay applications, against 175,551 the year before — up 6.4% — while the refusal rate went from 21.7% to 19.6%. That easing meant roughly 3,850 more applicants were issued a visa than 2024's rate would have produced.

Sources: U.S. Department of State — Adjusted Refusal Rate, B-Visas Only, by Nationality and European Commission — Schengen short-stay visa statistics for consulates . Schengen figures are grouped by the country an application was lodged in, not by passport.

Frequently asked questions

What is the UK family visa refusal rate for Tunisian citizens?

5.1% in year to March 2026, against 6.2% in year to March 2025 — meaning 94.9% of decided cases ended in a visa. Entry clearance family visa applications from Tunisia nationals decided in the year to March 2026, as a share refused. The Home Office publishes decisions by nationality and visa type; withdrawn and lapsed applications are excluded from both sides of the fraction. It is a nationality-wide outcome, not a probability for an individual application. Your own case is assessed on its own evidence, so use the estimator on this page rather than the average.

Where does this UK refusal-rate figure come from?

From UK Home Office — outcomes of entry clearance visa applications by nationality and visa type (Vis_D02), covering year to March 2026. We restate the published figure without adjustment and link the source file directly, so you can check it yourself.

What matters most for a UK family visa?

Officers focus on whether the family relationship is genuine and the sponsor can support you. In practice the single biggest lever is the relationship and sponsor, so make that part of your application as strong and well-documented as possible.

Does a previous visa refusal affect my chances?

Yes. A prior refusal weighs on new applications until its underlying reason is addressed. Find out exactly why you were refused, fix what caused it, and clearly show what is different this time.

Is this a guarantee of approval?

No. GetVisaOdds is an educational planning tool, not legal advice and not a guarantee. Only a consular or immigration officer can decide your application. We show approximate odds and the reasons behind them so you can prepare better.

Is my information private?

Completely. The estimate runs entirely in your browser. Your answers are never sent to a server or stored — there is no sign-up and nothing to leak.

Explore related visa odds

UK family visa odds for other nationalities

Helpful guides

UK ETA 2026: who needs it, cost (£20) and how to apply → How long does a visa take? US, UK, Canada & Schengen (2026) → How to read visa approval and refusal rates → How to prove strong ties to your home country → How to document your finances for a visa → What to do after a visa refusal →