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🇰🇪 Kenyan citizens · 🇬🇧 UK · Work

UK work visa refusal rate for Kenyan citizens (year to March 2026)

The Home Office decided 5,223 UK work visa applications from Kenyan nationals in the year to March 2026, and refused 11.2% of them — so about 89 in every 100 decided applications were issued. That is down from 14.4% in year to March 2025. Unlike the Schengen figures, this is grouped by the applicant's nationality rather than by where the application was lodged, and it is broken down by visa type, so it describes Kenyan work applicants specifically. Withdrawn and lapsed applications are excluded from both sides of the fraction. It remains a nationality-wide outcome rather than a prediction for one case. On the money side: Salary must meet £41,700/year or the going rate for your occupation (higher of the two); lower thresholds exist for new entrants and shortage roles. Plus £1,270 in savings unless the sponsor certifies maintenance. The estimator below weighs your own finances, ties, travel history and refusal record against that.

Last reviewed August 2026 per our editorial standards. Rate: UK Home Office — outcomes of entry clearance visa applications by nationality and visa type (Vis_D02) . Rules: GOV.UK — Skilled Worker visa: your job (salary rules) .

How likely is a work visa to the United Kingdom for Kenyan citizens? Officers focus on whether you have a genuine, sponsored job you are qualified for. A typical applicant sees roughly 63%, and the biggest single lever is the sponsor and job offer. Kenyan applicants see elevated refusal rates; documented finances, stable employment and ties to home are decisive.

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Key requirements

  • Certificate of Sponsorship (CoS) from a licensed UK sponsor
  • Job in an eligible (graduate-level) occupation code
  • Salary of at least £41,700/year or the occupation's going rate — whichever is higher
  • English at CEFR B1 (test, degree taught in English, or exempt nationality)
  • Application fee + Immigration Health Surcharge; £1,270 maintenance unless your sponsor certifies it

Visa fee (cost)

From £819 for a 3-year Skilled Worker visa (April 2026 rate), plus the £1,035/year Immigration Health Surcharge.

Money & funds

Salary must meet £41,700/year or the going rate for your occupation (higher of the two); lower thresholds exist for new entrants and shortage roles. Plus £1,270 in savings unless the sponsor certifies maintenance.

Typical timeline

Around 3 weeks for most overseas applications once biometrics are done; priority services can shorten this.

Common refusal reasons

  • Salary below the general threshold or the occupation's going rate
  • Sponsor licence problems or an invalid CoS
  • Wrong or ineligible occupation code
  • English language requirement not met
  • Maintenance funds not evidenced correctly

Where Kenya sits in the official data

Two governments publish visa outcomes broken down by country. Neither predicts an individual decision, but together they show how Kenyan applicants fare relative to everyone else, and which of the destinations we cover currently refuses the fewest applications from Kenya.

US visitor visas — FY2025

A 68.2% adjusted refusal rate places Kenya 183rd of 199 nationalities the State Department publishes — a lower refusal rate than 8% of them. The median nationality sits at 31.8%, so Kenya is 36.4 points above it.

Schengen short-stay visas — 2025

Across all Schengen consulates in Kenya, 33.1% of short-stay applications were not issued — 102nd of 127 countries with a meaningful application volume, and 17.5 points above the 15.6% median.

Schengen short-stay applications lodged in Kenya in 2025, by issuing state. All rows use the European Commission's methodology, so they are comparable with each other — the US figure is computed differently and is shown separately above.
DestinationRefusedIssuedDecided
Spain16.9%83.1%5,063
the Netherlands19.4%80.6%5,152
Italy19.9%80.1%6,427
Greece23.5%76.5%2,359
France26.2%73.8%4,326
Germany29%71%10,039

Among Schengen states, applications lodged in Kenya were refused least often by Spain at 16.9% and most often by Germany at 29% — a gap of 12.1 points on a like-for-like basis. That gap reflects who applies where as much as how strictly each state decides, so it is a starting point for choosing a main destination, not a ranking of leniency. You must still apply to the state where you will spend the most nights.

Demand and outcome moved together for Kenya between 2024 and 2025. Schengen consulates there decided 76,271 short-stay applications, against 64,779 the year before — up 17.7% — while the refusal rate went from 29.1% to 33.1%. Had 2024's rate held, roughly 3,032 of the 76,271 applicants refused in 2025 would have been issued a visa instead.

Sources: U.S. Department of State — Adjusted Refusal Rate, B-Visas Only, by Nationality and European Commission — Schengen short-stay visa statistics for consulates . Schengen figures are grouped by the country an application was lodged in, not by passport.

Frequently asked questions

What is the UK work visa refusal rate for Kenyan citizens?

11.2% in year to March 2026, against 14.4% in year to March 2025 — meaning 88.8% of decided cases ended in a visa. Entry clearance work visa applications from Kenya nationals decided in the year to March 2026, as a share refused. The Home Office publishes decisions by nationality and visa type; withdrawn and lapsed applications are excluded from both sides of the fraction. It is a nationality-wide outcome, not a probability for an individual application. Your own case is assessed on its own evidence, so use the estimator on this page rather than the average.

Where does this UK refusal-rate figure come from?

From UK Home Office — outcomes of entry clearance visa applications by nationality and visa type (Vis_D02), covering year to March 2026. We restate the published figure without adjustment and link the source file directly, so you can check it yourself.

What matters most for a UK work visa?

Officers focus on whether you have a genuine, sponsored job you are qualified for. In practice the single biggest lever is the sponsor and job offer, so make that part of your application as strong and well-documented as possible.

Does a previous visa refusal affect my chances?

Yes. A prior refusal weighs on new applications until its underlying reason is addressed. Find out exactly why you were refused, fix what caused it, and clearly show what is different this time.

Is this a guarantee of approval?

No. GetVisaOdds is an educational planning tool, not legal advice and not a guarantee. Only a consular or immigration officer can decide your application. We show approximate odds and the reasons behind them so you can prepare better.

Is my information private?

Completely. The estimate runs entirely in your browser. Your answers are never sent to a server or stored — there is no sign-up and nothing to leak.

What is the UK Skilled Worker salary threshold in 2026?

£41,700 per year or the going rate for your specific occupation — whichever is higher — for most standard applications (in force since 22 July 2025). New entrants and some listed roles have lower thresholds, and Health and Care roles follow their own rules.

Can I apply for a Skilled Worker visa without a sponsor?

No. A Certificate of Sponsorship from a Home Office-licensed employer is the foundation of the route — without it there is no application.

Do I need to prove savings for a Skilled Worker visa?

You need £1,270 held for 28 days unless your sponsor certifies maintenance on the CoS, which most established sponsors do.

How long does the UK Skilled Worker visa take?

Usually about 3 weeks from outside the UK after biometrics, with paid priority options in many countries.

Why are Skilled Worker visas refused?

Almost always mechanics: salary under the threshold or going rate, CoS/sponsor issues, wrong occupation code, or English/maintenance evidence problems — fix those and the route is predictable.

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