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GetVisaOdds

🇳🇿 New Zealand · Tourist / Visitor visa

New Zealand Tourist / Visitor visa approval odds

How likely is a tourist visa to New Zealand? Officers focus on whether you are a genuine visitor who will return home on time. A typical applicant sees roughly 86%, and the biggest single lever is return intent.

Last reviewed July 2026 per our editorial standards.

How likely is a tourist visa to New Zealand? Officers focus on whether you are a genuine visitor who will return home on time. A typical applicant sees roughly 86%, and the biggest single lever is return intent.

Estimate my personal odds

Estimate your personal odds

Pre-filled for this route. A few taps and it’s done — privately, in your browser.

Step 1 of 70%

Your trip

The essentials. Pre-filled if you came from a specific page.

What actually moves the needle

Strong ties to home — a stable job, family, or property

This is the heart of tourist decisions for New Zealand. Make it concrete and documented rather than assumed.

Funds that clearly cover the whole trip

Officers weigh this alongside everything else — gather clear evidence before you apply.

A specific, time-limited plan with bookings

Officers weigh this alongside everything else — gather clear evidence before you apply.

Avoid the common pitfall

The most frequent reason this route fails is a vague itinerary or thin finances that make your return look uncertain. Address it directly and you remove the biggest doubt.

Frequently asked questions

Is there an official New Zealand tourist visa success rate?

Not one we currently carry. We only print a rate when we hold the publisher's own figure for this nationality and this visa category, and we do not hold one for New Zealand tourist visas. The figure shown on this page is a modelled estimate built from published route-level data and your answers — we label it as such rather than presenting it as a government statistic. What you can act on is the documented requirement set below, which is what the decision actually turns on.

What matters most for a New Zealand tourist visa?

Officers focus on whether you are a genuine visitor who will return home on time. In practice the single biggest lever is return intent, so make that part of your application as strong and well-documented as possible.

Does a previous visa refusal affect my chances?

Yes. A prior refusal weighs on new applications until its underlying reason is addressed. Find out exactly why you were refused, fix what caused it, and clearly show what is different this time.

Is this a guarantee of approval?

No. GetVisaOdds is an educational planning tool, not legal advice and not a guarantee. Only a consular or immigration officer can decide your application. We show approximate odds and the reasons behind them so you can prepare better.

Is my information private?

Completely. The estimate runs entirely in your browser. Your answers are never sent to a server or stored — there is no sign-up and nothing to leak.

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