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🇳🇵 Nepali citizens · 🇮🇹 Italy · Family / Spouse

Italy family / spouse visa success rate for Nepali citizens

In the UK — the only government that publishes visa outcomes broken down by both nationality and visa type — 61.3% of Nepali family visa applications were approved, down from 68% a year earlier, across 3,972 decisions in the year to March 2026. For Nepali family applicants that is the only approval rate on record anywhere. Italy does not publish family decisions by nationality, so no Italy-specific rate exists for Nepal — and any site quoting one is estimating. Where Nepal does have published rates, they run at 30.5% on US visitor visas in FY2025 and 75.5% across 7,059 Schengen short-stay decisions in 2025 — a wider picture of how Nepali applications are treated, though neither is a family-visa figure. What Italy does document is the decision itself: officers assess whether the family relationship is genuine and the sponsor can support you, and the biggest single lever is the relationship and sponsor. The estimator below weighs your own finances, ties, travel history and refusal record instead.

Last reviewed July 2026 per our editorial standards.

For Nepali citizens applying, a family visa to Italy is decided mainly on whether the family relationship is genuine and the sponsor can support you. Public statistics point to an approximate base approval of around 52% for this route — but your own profile can move that figure a lot in either direction. Nepali applicants — especially students — face close scrutiny over funding and genuine intent; clearly documented finances matter most.

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Where Nepal sits in the official data

Two governments publish visa outcomes broken down by country. Neither predicts an individual decision, but together they show how Nepali applicants fare relative to everyone else, and which of the destinations we cover currently refuses the fewest applications from Nepal.

UK family visas — year to March 2026

The UK is the only government that publishes outcomes by nationality and visa type, so it is the one place a family-visa figure for Nepal actually exists. 38.7% of Nepali family applications were refused across 3,972 decisions , against 32% the year before. That volume makes Nepal the 3rd-largest source of UK family applicants, of 42 countries with meaningful numbers. Different country, different rules — a reference point, not your odds here.

US visitor visas — FY2025

A 69.5% adjusted refusal rate places Nepal 187th of 199 nationalities the State Department publishes — a lower refusal rate than 6% of them. The median nationality sits at 31.8%, so Nepal is 37.7 points above it.

Schengen short-stay visas — 2025

Across all Schengen consulates in Nepal, 24.5% of short-stay applications were not issued — 84th of 127 countries with a meaningful application volume, and 8.9 points above the 15.6% median.

Demand and outcome moved together for Nepal between 2024 and 2025. Schengen consulates there decided 7,059 short-stay applications, against 7,808 the year before — down 9.6% — while the refusal rate went from 35.1% to 24.5%. That easing meant roughly 752 more applicants were issued a visa than 2024's rate would have produced.

Sources: U.S. Department of State — Adjusted Refusal Rate, B-Visas Only, by Nationality and European Commission — Schengen short-stay visa statistics for consulates . Schengen figures are grouped by the country an application was lodged in, not by passport.

What actually moves the needle

Evidence of a genuine relationship

This is the heart of family decisions for Italy. Make it concrete and documented rather than assumed.

A sponsor who meets the requirements

Officers weigh this alongside everything else — gather clear evidence before you apply.

Funds and accommodation that are documented

Officers weigh this alongside everything else — gather clear evidence before you apply.

Context for Nepal applicants

Nepali applicants — especially students — face close scrutiny over funding and genuine intent; clearly documented finances matter most. Your personal profile matters far more than any nationality-level pattern, so focus on the levers above.

Avoid the common pitfall

The most frequent reason this route fails is thin relationship evidence or a sponsor who falls short of requirements. Address it directly and you remove the biggest doubt.

Frequently asked questions

Is there an official Italy family visa success rate for Nepali citizens?

Not one we currently carry. We only print a rate when we hold the publisher's own figure for this nationality and this visa category, and we do not hold one for Italy family visas. The figure shown on this page is a modelled estimate built from published route-level data and your answers — we label it as such rather than presenting it as a government statistic. What you can act on is the documented requirement set below, which is what the decision actually turns on.

What matters most for an Italy family visa?

Officers focus on whether the family relationship is genuine and the sponsor can support you. In practice the single biggest lever is the relationship and sponsor, so make that part of your application as strong and well-documented as possible.

Does a previous visa refusal affect my chances?

Yes. A prior refusal weighs on new applications until its underlying reason is addressed. Find out exactly why you were refused, fix what caused it, and clearly show what is different this time.

Is this a guarantee of approval?

No. GetVisaOdds is an educational planning tool, not legal advice and not a guarantee. Only a consular or immigration officer can decide your application. We show approximate odds and the reasons behind them so you can prepare better.

Is my information private?

Completely. The estimate runs entirely in your browser. Your answers are never sent to a server or stored — there is no sign-up and nothing to leak.

Explore related visa odds

Italy family visa odds for other nationalities

Helpful guides

Schengen visa bank statements: how much money and how to show it → Schengen travel insurance: 30,000 euros cover & cost (2026) → How to read visa approval and refusal rates → How to prove strong ties to your home country → How to document your finances for a visa → What to do after a visa refusal →